Discounted Cash Flow
American Bitcoin Corp.
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Audit / VIE / HFCA: Financial-sector DCF: free cash flow for lenders/insurers includes loan principal and deposits, so FCF ≈ 5-10× net income and is not a valuation proxy; the model shows moderate/unstable predictability and the DCF can be 5-40× market cap (lender pattern).
Sourced live via DEF 14A beneficial_ownership (edgartools proxy) for US filers and 20-F risk_factors (“controls X% of voting power” + VIE/HFCA) for foreign ADRs — cached 12h. A concentrated holder can overrule the DCF’s minority-basis assumptions on dividends, issuance, and delisting.
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
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Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $7.6m | $-1.8m | — | -23.5% | — |
| 2019 | $7.9m (4.2%) | $-9.1m (-407.8%) | $-6.5m | -114.5% (-387.2%) | — |
| 2020 | $9.1m (15.1%) | $-11.2m (-24.2%) | $-10.5m (-60.3%) | -123.6% (-7.9%) | — |
| 2021 | $15.0m (64.5%) | $-22.7m (-101.7%) | $-5.9m (43.4%) | -151.5% (-22.6%) | $-24.44 |
| 2022 | $9.9m (-34.0%) | $-57.9m (-155.4%) | $-7.9m (-33.2%) | -586.4% (-287.2%) | $-27.33 (-11.8%) |
| 2023 | $4.9m (-49.9%) | $-8.4m (85.5%) | $-5.6m (28.8%) | -169.4% (71.1%) | $-31.21 (-14.2%) |
| 2024 | $14.9m (200.4%) | $-15.4m (-84.0%) | $-3.2m (42.5%) | -103.7% (38.8%) | $-0.51 (98.4%) |
| 2025 | $134.0m (801.5%) | $-110.9m (-619.1%) | $-251.0m (-7656.1%) | -82.7% (20.2%) | $-0.17 (66.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.