Discounted Cash Flow
ACM Research, Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 28/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 87%,
net income 66% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $4.1m | $153.7k | $-670.4k | 3.8% | $0.30 |
| 2017 | $5.4m (33.4%) | $-47.4k (-130.8%) | $-1.3m (-94.6%) | -0.9% (-123.1%) | $-0.05 (-116.7%) |
| 2018 | $11.1m (104.5%) | $980.1k (2167.3%) | $757.2k (158.0%) | 8.8% (1111.1%) | $0.42 (940.0%) |
| 2019 | $16.0m (44.1%) | $2.8m (187.4%) | $1.3m (66.0%) | 17.6% (99.5%) | $1.12 (166.7%) |
| 2020 | $23.3m (45.7%) | $2.8m (-0.6%) | $-2.8m (-322.5%) | 12.0% (-31.8%) | $1.03 (-8.0%) |
| 2021 | $38.7m (65.8%) | $5.6m (101.0%) | $-7.3m (-162.5%) | 14.5% (21.2%) | $1.96 (90.3%) |
| 2022 | $58.0m (49.7%) | $5.9m (4.0%) | $-22.9m (-211.3%) | 10.1% (-30.5%) | $0.66 (-66.3%) |
| 2023 | $83.1m (43.4%) | $11.5m (97.0%) | $-20.5m (10.5%) | 13.9% (37.3%) | $1.29 (95.5%) |
| 2024 | $116.6m (40.2%) | $15.4m (34.0%) | $10.4m (151.0%) | 13.2% (-4.5%) | $1.67 (29.5%) |
| 2025 | $134.4m (15.2%) | $14.0m (-9.2%) | $-9.9m (-195.2%) | 10.4% (-21.2%) | $1.47 (-12.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.