Discounted Cash Flow
Archer-daniels-midland Co.
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $72.6b | $1.5b | $691.0m | 2.1% | $2.18 |
| 2017 | $70.9b (-2.4%) | $1.9b (24.7%) | $1.4b (96.0%) | 2.6% (27.8%) | $2.80 (28.4%) |
| 2018 | $75.0b (5.8%) | $2.1b (13.5%) | $-6.6b (-584.2%) | 2.8% (7.3%) | $3.21 (14.6%) |
| 2019 | $75.3b (0.5%) | $1.6b (-23.8%) | $-7.3b (-11.6%) | 2.1% (-24.2%) | $2.45 (-23.7%) |
| 2020 | $75.0b (-0.5%) | $2.1b (28.5%) | $-3.7b (48.9%) | 2.8% (29.1%) | $3.16 (29.0%) |
| 2021 | $99.3b (32.5%) | $3.2b (52.9%) | $6.3b (269.1%) | 3.2% (15.4%) | $4.80 (51.9%) |
| 2022 | $118.3b (19.1%) | $5.1b (60.2%) | $2.5b (-60.2%) | 4.3% (34.5%) | $7.72 (60.8%) |
| 2023 | $109.5b (-7.5%) | $4.1b (-19.7%) | $3.5b (37.4%) | 3.7% (-13.2%) | $6.44 (-16.6%) |
| 2024 | $99.7b (-8.9%) | $2.1b (-48.3%) | $1.4b (-58.6%) | 2.1% (-43.2%) | $3.66 (-43.2%) |
| 2025 | $93.5b (-6.2%) | $1.3b (-40.1%) | $4.9b (242.6%) | 1.3% (-36.2%) | $2.23 (-39.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.