Discounted Cash Flow
Aegon Ltd. ADR
—
Audit / VIE / HFCA: Financial-sector DCF: free cash flow for lenders/insurers includes loan principal and deposits, so FCF ≈ 5-10× net income and is not a valuation proxy; the model shows moderate/unstable predictability and the DCF can be 5-40× market cap (lender pattern).
Sourced live via DEF 14A beneficial_ownership (edgartools proxy) for US filers and 20-F risk_factors (“controls X% of voting power” + VIE/HFCA) for foreign ADRs — cached 12h. A concentrated holder can overrule the DCF’s minority-basis assumptions on dividends, issuance, and delisting.
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $39.1b | $507.6m | $-134.7m | 1.3% | $0.15 |
| 2017 | $38.3b (-2.0%) | $2.9b (465.0%) | $642.4m (576.7%) | 7.5% (476.7%) | $1.14 (660.0%) |
| 2018 | $33.6b (-12.3%) | $824.7m (-71.2%) | $600.5m (-6.5%) | 2.5% (-67.2%) | $0.29 (-74.6%) |
| 2019 | $32.8b (-2.5%) | $1.4b (74.5%) | $8.5b (1312.4%) | 4.4% (78.9%) | $0.56 (93.1%) |
| 2020 | $29.8b (-9.0%) | $-169.6m (-111.8%) | $-3.3b (-139.1%) | -0.6% (-113.0%) | $-0.09 (-116.1%) |
| 2021 | $29.3b (-1.7%) | $2.3b (1456.2%) | $-2.1b (37.1%) | 7.9% (1480.3%) | $0.94 (1144.4%) |
| 2022 | $24.8b (-15.4%) | $-1.7b (-172.4%) | $3.0b (243.2%) | -6.7% (-185.5%) | $-0.73 (-177.7%) |
| 2023 | $105.7m (-99.6%) | $-207.9m (87.5%) | $866.6m (-71.0%) | -196.7% (-2828.0%) | $-0.12 (83.6%) |
| 2024 | $4.0b (3654.9%) | $799.2m (484.4%) | $807.3m (-6.8%) | 20.1% (110.2%) | $0.37 (408.3%) |
| 2025 | $4.3b (7.6%) | $1.1b (42.0%) | $-132.4m (-116.4%) | 26.6% (32.0%) | $0.59 (59.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.