Discounted Cash Flow
Amber International Holding Ltd. ADR
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 38/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 73%,
net income 70% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $12.2m | $-3.5m | $-611.0k | -28.7% | $-2.26 |
| 2017 | $16.0m (31.4%) | $-3.1m (9.9%) | $-1.8m (-192.8%) | -19.7% (31.4%) | $-2.15 (4.9%) |
| 2018 | $20.4m (27.7%) | $-4.1m (-31.6%) | $-2.0m (-11.7%) | -20.3% (-3.0%) | $-1.23 (42.8%) |
| 2019 | $25.4m (24.6%) | $-1.2m (70.4%) | $-3.9m (-96.4%) | -4.8% (76.2%) | $-0.34 (72.4%) |
| 2020 | $32.5m (27.8%) | $-1.6m (-31.4%) | $-2.6m (34.4%) | -5.0% (-2.9%) | $-0.32 (5.9%) |
| 2021 | $39.2m (20.8%) | $-1.7m (-8.0%) | $-2.7m (-4.3%) | -4.4% (10.6%) | $-0.28 (12.5%) |
| 2022 | $21.6m (-45.1%) | $-25.6m (-1373.7%) | $9.0m (435.2%) | -118.8% (-2581.9%) | $-3.98 (-1321.4%) |
| 2023 | $17.0m (-21.2%) | $-4.9m (80.7%) | $-2.5m (-127.6%) | -29.0% (75.6%) | $-0.75 (81.2%) |
| 2024 | $4.2m (-75.4%) | $3.1m (161.9%) | $-2.8m (-12.0%) | 73.0% (351.2%) | — |
| 2025 | $8.4m (101.5%) | $-259.5k (-108.5%) | $-259.5k (90.7%) | -3.1% (-104.2%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in HKD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.