Discounted Cash Flow
American Superconductor Corp.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 31/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 83%,
net income 75% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $87.3m | $-31.8m | $-13.8m | -36.4% | $-1.98 |
| 2018 | $56.2m (-35.6%) | $-38.1m (-19.7%) | $-31.8m (-130.5%) | -67.7% (-86.0%) | $-1.73 (12.9%) |
| 2019 | $65.3m (16.1%) | $31.1m (181.6%) | $48.5m (252.6%) | 47.6% (170.3%) | $1.32 (176.2%) |
| 2020 | $74.2m (13.6%) | $-19.9m (-163.9%) | $-23.4m (-148.2%) | -26.8% (-156.2%) | $-0.81 (-161.9%) |
| 2021 | $101.2m (36.5%) | $-26.3m (-32.7%) | $-12.1m (48.1%) | -26.0% (2.8%) | $-0.95 (-16.6%) |
| 2022 | $126.0m (24.5%) | $-22.3m (15.4%) | $-23.1m (-90.7%) | -17.7% (32.0%) | $-1.52 (-59.9%) |
| 2023 | $123.1m (-2.3%) | $-40.7m (-82.6%) | $-27.6m (-19.1%) | -33.1% (-86.8%) | $-1.26 (17.1%) |
| 2024 | $169.2m (37.4%) | $-12.9m (68.3%) | $1.4m (105.1%) | -7.6% (76.9%) | $-0.37 (70.4%) |
| 2025 | $258.8m (53.0%) | $7.0m (154.3%) | $30.1m (2048.7%) | 2.7% (135.5%) | $0.16 (143.8%) |
| 2026 | $347.5m (34.3%) | $155.4m (2118.0%) | $21.2m (-29.4%) | 44.7% (1552.0%) | $3.12 (1810.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.