Discounted Cash Flow
Aon Plc.
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $13.5b | $1.6b | $2.5b | 12.0% | $5.21 |
| 2017 | $11.6b (-14.0%) | $1.4b (-12.2%) | $642.0m (-73.8%) | 12.3% (2.1%) | $4.74 (-9.0%) |
| 2018 | $12.5b (7.7%) | $1.3b (-7.5%) | $1.7b (162.4%) | 10.5% (-14.1%) | $4.62 (-2.5%) |
| 2019 | $12.8b (2.3%) | $1.8b (35.1%) | $1.9b (11.3%) | 13.9% (32.1%) | $6.42 (39.0%) |
| 2020 | $12.9b (0.5%) | $2.3b (28.5%) | $3.1b (64.1%) | 17.8% (27.9%) | $8.49 (32.2%) |
| 2021 | $14.2b (10.2%) | $1.5b (-36.3%) | $2.4b (-22.6%) | 10.3% (-42.2%) | $5.59 (-34.2%) |
| 2022 | $14.5b (2.3%) | $3.0b (106.3%) | $3.5b (47.8%) | 20.7% (101.6%) | $12.23 (118.8%) |
| 2023 | $15.6b (7.2%) | $3.0b (-1.0%) | $3.7b (5.3%) | 19.2% (-7.6%) | $12.60 (3.0%) |
| 2024 | $18.3b (17.4%) | $3.1b (3.5%) | $3.3b (-11.5%) | 16.9% (-11.8%) | $12.55 (-0.4%) |
| 2025 | $20.0b (9.4%) | $4.3b (39.2%) | $3.7b (14.2%) | 21.5% (27.2%) | $17.11 (36.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.