Discounted Cash Flow
Alpha & Omega Semiconductor Ltd.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 34/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 86%,
net income 90% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $50.0m | $-436.5k | $2.7m | -0.9% | $-0.13 |
| 2017 | $57.1m (14.2%) | $2.1m (572.3%) | $6.4m (133.3%) | 3.6% (513.6%) | $0.59 (553.8%) |
| 2018 | $62.8m (10.0%) | $2.1m (3.1%) | $518.8k (-91.8%) | 3.4% (-6.2%) | $0.60 (1.7%) |
| 2019 | $67.2m (7.0%) | $277.4k (-87.0%) | $4.7m (802.9%) | 0.4% (-87.8%) | $0.08 (-86.7%) |
| 2020 | $69.3m (3.1%) | $-983.3k (-454.4%) | $-12.4k (-100.3%) | -1.4% (-443.8%) | $-0.27 (-437.5%) |
| 2021 | $97.9m (41.3%) | $8.7m (981.1%) | $8.4m (67622.9%) | 8.8% (723.6%) | $2.25 (933.3%) |
| 2022 | $115.9m (18.4%) | $67.6m (679.8%) | $12.1m (44.3%) | 58.3% (558.8%) | $16.93 (652.4%) |
| 2023 | $103.1m (-11.1%) | $1.8m (-97.3%) | $-13.4m (-211.3%) | 1.8% (-96.9%) | $0.45 (-97.3%) |
| 2024 | $98.0m (-4.9%) | $-1.7m (-189.6%) | $-1.7m (87.4%) | -1.7% (-194.3%) | $-0.39 (-186.7%) |
| 2025 | $103.8m (5.9%) | $-14.5m (-775.2%) | $-1.1m (34.0%) | -13.9% (-726.3%) | $-3.30 (-746.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.