Discounted Cash Flow
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. Foreign
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 26/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 86%,
net income 79% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $793.3m | $94.8m | $-85.8m | 11.9% | $0.44 |
| 2017 | $1.1b (39.0%) | $108.2m (14.2%) | $-170.7m (-99.0%) | 9.8% (-17.9%) | $0.48 (9.1%) |
| 2018 | $1.2b (8.1%) | $133.9m (23.8%) | $46.3m (127.1%) | 11.2% (14.5%) | $0.38 (-20.8%) |
| 2019 | $1.2b (-1.4%) | $384.2m (187.0%) | $21.7m (-53.2%) | 32.7% (191.0%) | $1.05 (176.3%) |
| 2020 | $1.2b (3.2%) | $566.3m (47.4%) | $-203.2m (-1038.3%) | 46.7% (42.8%) | $1.38 (31.4%) |
| 2021 | $1.7b (36.3%) | $191.7m (-66.2%) | $-859.5m (-322.9%) | 11.6% (-75.2%) | $0.41 (-70.3%) |
| 2022 | $2.0b (21.0%) | $-153.4m (-180.0%) | $-340.1m (60.4%) | -7.7% (-166.2%) | $-0.33 (-180.5%) |
| 2023 | $2.0b (-2.4%) | $20.8m (113.5%) | $20.8m (106.1%) | 1.1% (113.9%) | $0.03 (109.1%) |
| 2024 | $1.7b (-14.0%) | $-999.2m (-4914.5%) | $-282.8m (-1462.6%) | -59.5% (-5700.1%) | $-1.90 (-6433.3%) |
| 2025 | $1.8b (4.9%) | $130.9m (113.1%) | $-129.0m (54.4%) | 7.4% (112.5%) | $0.22 (111.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.