Discounted Cash Flow
Aris Mining Corp. Foreign
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $5.2b | $-1.0b | $1.3b | -19.8% | $-1.32 |
| 2019 | $7.0b (34.2%) | $3.3b (418.7%) | $2.1b (60.5%) | 47.1% (337.6%) | $2.26 (271.2%) |
| 2020 | $9.1b (29.6%) | $2.6b (-21.0%) | $3.9b (91.2%) | 28.7% (-39.0%) | $1.31 (-42.0%) |
| 2021 | $8.7b (-4.8%) | $2.4b (-9.0%) | $3.2b (-19.2%) | 27.4% (-4.4%) | $1.14 (-13.0%) |
| 2022 | $289.5m (-96.7%) | $736.1m (-69.1%) | $55.7m (-98.2%) | 254.3% (826.8%) | $-0.04 (-103.5%) |
| 2023 | $324.0m (11.9%) | $8.3m (-98.9%) | $75.8m (36.1%) | 2.6% (-99.0%) | $0.08 (300.0%) |
| 2024 | $369.6m (14.1%) | $16.9m (104.0%) | $102.2m (34.9%) | 4.6% (78.8%) | $0.16 (100.0%) |
| 2025 | $671.4m (81.7%) | $57.4m (240.8%) | $270.0m (164.1%) | 8.6% (87.6%) | $0.42 (162.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.