Discounted Cash Flow
Asml Holding N.V. ADR
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $7.9b | $1.7b | $1.6b | 21.7% | $3.46 |
| 2017 | $10.5b (33.2%) | $2.5b (43.9%) | $1.7b (8.2%) | 23.4% (8.0%) | $4.93 (42.5%) |
| 2018 | $12.7b (20.9%) | $3.0b (22.3%) | $2.9b (71.2%) | 23.7% (1.2%) | $6.10 (23.7%) |
| 2019 | $13.7b (8.0%) | $3.0b (0.0%) | $2.9b (0.4%) | 21.9% (-7.4%) | $6.16 (1.0%) |
| 2020 | $16.2b (18.3%) | $4.1b (37.1%) | $4.3b (46.1%) | 25.4% (15.9%) | $8.49 (37.8%) |
| 2021 | $21.6b (33.1%) | $6.8b (65.6%) | $11.6b (171.3%) | 31.6% (24.3%) | $14.36 (69.1%) |
| 2022 | $24.6b (13.8%) | $6.5b (-4.4%) | $8.4b (-27.6%) | 26.6% (-16.0%) | $14.14 (-1.5%) |
| 2023 | $32.0b (30.2%) | $9.1b (39.4%) | $3.8b (-54.4%) | 28.4% (7.1%) | $19.91 (40.8%) |
| 2024 | $32.8b (2.6%) | $8.8b (-3.4%) | $10.6b (176.8%) | 26.8% (-5.8%) | $19.25 (-3.3%) |
| 2025 | $37.9b (15.6%) | $11.2b (26.9%) | $12.9b (21.8%) | 29.4% (9.8%) | $24.73 (28.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.