Discounted Cash Flow
Southeast Airport Group ADR
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $575.7m | $297.0m | $266.1m | 51.6% | $12.10 |
| 2017 | $743.1m (29.1%) | $495.0m (66.7%) | $355.7m (33.7%) | 66.6% (29.1%) | $19.45 (60.7%) |
| 2018 | $909.5m (22.4%) | $408.2m (-17.5%) | $367.0m (3.2%) | 44.9% (-32.6%) | $16.63 (-14.5%) |
| 2019 | $992.8m (9.2%) | $452.2m (10.8%) | $497.5m (35.6%) | 45.5% (1.5%) | $18.22 (9.6%) |
| 2020 | $745.1m (-24.9%) | $168.5m (-62.7%) | $171.7m (-65.5%) | 22.6% (-50.3%) | $6.57 (-63.9%) |
| 2021 | $1.1b (48.8%) | $479.6m (184.6%) | $610.7m (255.7%) | 43.3% (91.2%) | $19.95 (203.4%) |
| 2022 | $1.5b (34.8%) | $831.3m (73.3%) | $634.0m (3.8%) | 55.6% (28.6%) | $33.29 (66.9%) |
| 2023 | $1.5b (2.0%) | $862.9m (3.8%) | $712.6m (12.4%) | 56.6% (1.8%) | $34.01 (2.2%) |
| 2024 | $1.8b (21.3%) | $1.2b (39.3%) | $659.6m (-7.4%) | 65.0% (14.8%) | $45.17 (32.8%) |
| 2025 | $2.2b (18.8%) | $-314.8k (-100.0%) | $268.0m (-59.4%) | -0.0% (-100.0%) | $34.96 (-22.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in MXN. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.