Discounted Cash Flow
Astec Industries Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 25/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 92%,
net income 90% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $223.9m | $10.8m | $21.0m | 4.8% | $2.40 |
| 2017 | $231.2m (3.3%) | $7.4m (-31.5%) | $4.3m (-79.7%) | 3.2% (-33.6%) | $1.64 (-31.7%) |
| 2018 | $228.6m (-1.1%) | $-11.8m (-259.9%) | $-11.2m (-362.1%) | -5.2% (-261.7%) | $-2.64 (-261.0%) |
| 2019 | $228.2m (-0.2%) | $4.4m (136.9%) | $17.4m (255.7%) | 1.9% (137.0%) | $0.99 (137.5%) |
| 2020 | $199.9m (-12.4%) | $9.2m (110.3%) | $24.6m (41.6%) | 4.6% (140.1%) | $2.08 (110.1%) |
| 2021 | $214.1m (7.1%) | $3.5m (-62.0%) | $-2.5m (-110.1%) | 1.6% (-64.6%) | $0.78 (-62.5%) |
| 2022 | $248.7m (16.2%) | $-19.5k (-100.6%) | $-22.4m (-802.4%) | -0.0% (-100.5%) | $0.00 (-100.0%) |
| 2023 | $261.1m (5.0%) | $6.5m (33600.0%) | $-1.2m (94.5%) | 2.5% (32005.4%) | $1.47 |
| 2024 | $254.7m (-2.5%) | $839.1k (-87.2%) | $487.9k (139.7%) | 0.3% (-86.8%) | $0.19 (-87.1%) |
| 2025 | $275.2m (8.1%) | $7.6m (802.3%) | $4.0m (728.0%) | 2.8% (735.0%) | $1.70 (794.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in BRL. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.