Discounted Cash Flow
Azul S.A. ADR
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.3b | $3.5m | $10.5m | 0.3% | $-0.56 |
| 2017 | $1.5b (16.8%) | $116.7m (3277.4%) | $57.6m (446.9%) | 7.7% (2792.0%) | $1.70 (403.6%) |
| 2018 | $1.8b (17.5%) | $117.5m (0.7%) | $86.5m (50.0%) | 6.6% (-14.3%) | $1.26 (-25.9%) |
| 2019 | $2.2b (25.0%) | $-494.9m (-521.2%) | $506.3m (485.6%) | -22.2% (-437.0%) | $-7.14 (-666.7%) |
| 2020 | $1.1b (-49.8%) | $-2.2b (-336.8%) | $190.5m (-62.4%) | -192.8% (-770.0%) | $-32.09 (-349.4%) |
| 2021 | $1.9b (73.7%) | $-822.2m (62.0%) | $-63.8m (-133.5%) | -42.2% (78.1%) | $-12.35 (61.5%) |
| 2022 | $3.1b (59.9%) | $-141.0m (82.9%) | $474.9m (844.6%) | -4.5% (89.3%) | $-2.11 (82.9%) |
| 2023 | $3.6b (16.3%) | $-456.8m (-224.1%) | $669.9m (41.1%) | -12.6% (-178.5%) | $-6.94 (-228.9%) |
| 2024 | $3.8b (5.2%) | $-1.8b (-292.6%) | $543.4m (-18.9%) | -47.1% (-273.0%) | $-26.67 (-284.3%) |
| 2025 | $4.2b (10.8%) | $24.4m (101.4%) | $-240.5m (-144.3%) | 0.6% (101.2%) | $0.16 (100.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in BRL. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.