Discounted Cash Flow
Build-a-bear Workshop Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 45/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 66%,
net income 71% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $510.6m | $37.0m | — | 7.2% | $1.61 |
| 2017 | $483.8m (-5.2%) | $10.7m (-71.1%) | $4.5m | 2.2% (-69.4%) | $0.50 (-68.9%) |
| 2019 | $455.1m (-5.9%) | $-24.2m (-326.5%) | $-2.1m (-147.2%) | -5.3% (-340.9%) | $-1.23 (-346.0%) |
| 2020 | $457.7m (0.6%) | $352.9k (101.5%) | $12.5m (687.6%) | 0.1% (101.4%) | $0.02 (101.6%) |
| 2021 | $345.2m (-24.6%) | $-31.1m (-8905.7%) | $11.3m (-9.6%) | -9.0% (-11776.5%) | $-1.54 (-7800.0%) |
| 2022 | $556.4m (61.2%) | $63.9m (305.7%) | $27.0m (139.2%) | 11.5% (227.6%) | $3.06 (298.7%) |
| 2023 | $632.7m (13.7%) | $64.9m (1.5%) | $45.5m (68.7%) | 10.3% (-10.7%) | $3.21 (4.9%) |
| 2024 | $657.2m (3.9%) | $71.4m (10.0%) | $62.2m (36.8%) | 10.9% (5.9%) | $3.68 (14.6%) |
| 2025 | $671.1m (2.1%) | $70.0m (-1.9%) | $37.5m (-39.7%) | 10.4% (-4.0%) | $3.81 (3.5%) |
| 2026 | $716.3m (6.7%) | $70.6m (0.8%) | $53.4m (42.3%) | 9.9% (-5.6%) | $4.00 (5.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in GBP. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.