Discounted Cash Flow
Barclays Plc. ADR
—
Audit / VIE / HFCA: Financial-sector DCF: free cash flow for lenders/insurers includes loan principal and deposits, so FCF ≈ 5-10× net income and is not a valuation proxy; the model shows moderate/unstable predictability and the DCF can be 5-40× market cap (lender pattern).
Sourced live via DEF 14A beneficial_ownership (edgartools proxy) for US filers and 20-F risk_factors (“controls X% of voting power” + VIE/HFCA) for foreign ADRs — cached 12h. A concentrated holder can overrule the DCF’s minority-basis assumptions on dividends, issuance, and delisting.
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $19.7b | $2.8b | $13.6b | 14.3% | $10.40 |
| 2017 | $18.4b (-6.3%) | $-1.7b (-161.7%) | $-1.7b (-112.8%) | -9.4% (-165.8%) | $-10.30 (-199.0%) |
| 2018 | $12.3b (-33.5%) | $2.9b (267.3%) | $9.8b (664.5%) | 23.7% (351.6%) | $9.40 (191.3%) |
| 2019 | $12.7b (3.8%) | $4.4b (52.6%) | $-18.7b (-290.7%) | 34.8% (47.0%) | $0.14 (-98.5%) |
| 2020 | $11.0b (-13.7%) | $3.2b (-27.2%) | $3.2b (117.2%) | 29.3% (-15.7%) | $0.09 (-38.5%) |
| 2021 | $10.9b (-0.6%) | $9.5b (194.1%) | $63.3b (1865.7%) | 86.8% (195.9%) | $0.36 (314.8%) |
| 2022 | $14.3b (31.0%) | $8.0b (-15.4%) | $38.5b (-39.2%) | 56.1% (-35.4%) | $0.31 (-15.6%) |
| 2023 | $17.2b (20.2%) | $7.1b (-11.3%) | $-3.6b (-109.3%) | 41.4% (-26.2%) | $0.28 (-10.1%) |
| 2024 | $17.5b (1.8%) | $8.5b (19.9%) | $7.5b (309.4%) | 48.8% (17.8%) | $0.36 (30.0%) |
| 2025 | $19.6b (12.1%) | $9.7b (13.7%) | $22.8b (204.7%) | 49.5% (1.4%) | $0.44 (21.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in GBP. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.