Discounted Cash Flow

Biogen Inc.

BIIB · Based on 10 years of SEC filings · Converted from EUR to USD

⚠ Cash flow predictability 63/100 (moderate) — FCF YoY std dev 47%, net income 55% (full history)

DCF estimate unavailable — no_upward_trend_net_income_yr1_1807565760.0_gte_yrN_1501832640.0_window_5

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $13.3b $4.3b $4.5b 32.3% $16.96
2017 $14.3b (7.2%) $2.9b (-31.4%) $4.3b (-5.7%) 20.7% (-36.0%) $11.94 (-29.6%)
2018 $15.6b (9.6%) $5.1b (74.5%) $6.3b (47.1%) 32.9% (59.2%) $21.63 (81.2%)
2019 $16.7b (6.9%) $6.8b (32.9%) $7.6b (21.2%) 41.0% (24.4%) $31.47 (45.5%)
2020 $15.6b (-6.5%) $4.6b (-32.1%) $4.4b (-42.0%) 29.8% (-27.3%) $24.86 (-21.0%)
2021 $12.8b (-18.3%) $1.8b (-61.1%) $3.9b (-11.1%) 14.2% (-52.4%) $10.44 (-58.0%)
2022 $11.8b (-7.4%) $3.5b (95.8%) $1.3b (-66.2%) 29.9% (111.4%) $20.96 (100.8%)
2023 $11.4b (-3.3%) $1.3b (-61.9%) $1.5b (11.0%) 11.8% (-60.6%) $8.02 (-61.7%)
2024 $11.2b (-1.6%) $1.9b (40.6%) $3.2b (114.3%) 16.9% (42.9%) $11.21 (39.8%)
2025 $11.5b (2.2%) $1.5b (-20.8%) $2.4b (-24.7%) 13.1% (-22.5%) $8.83 (-21.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

no_upward_trend_net_income_yr1_1807565760.0_gte_yrN_1501832640.0_window_5

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.