Discounted Cash Flow
Peabody Energy Corp.
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | $4.0b | $48.7m | $-17.0m | 1.2% | $-109.98 |
| 2016 | $3.4b (-15.9%) | $21.2m (-56.5%) | $-42.3m (-149.6%) | 0.6% (-48.2%) | $-39.87 (63.7%) |
| 2018 | $4.0b (18.4%) | $1.4m (-93.2%) | $1.1b (2629.0%) | 0.0% (-94.3%) | $4.50 (111.3%) |
| 2019 | $3.3b (-17.2%) | $143.7k (-90.0%) | $486.6m (-54.5%) | 0.0% (-87.9%) | $-2.04 (-145.3%) |
| 2020 | $2.1b (-37.7%) | $0 (-100.0%) | $-11.4m (-102.3%) | 0.0% (-100.0%) | $-19.14 (-838.2%) |
| 2021 | $2.4b (15.2%) | $23.9m | $23.9m (310.1%) | 1.0% | $3.24 (116.9%) |
| 2022 | $3.6b (50.1%) | $41.6m (74.4%) | $41.6m (74.4%) | 1.2% (16.2%) | $9.13 (181.8%) |
| 2023 | $3.6b (-0.7%) | $6.3m (-84.8%) | $800.0m (1823.0%) | 0.2% (-84.7%) | $5.52 (-39.5%) |
| 2024 | $3.0b (-14.4%) | $-0 (-100.0%) | $439.4m (-45.1%) | -0.0% (-100.0%) | $2.96 (-46.4%) |
| 2025 | $2.8b (-8.9%) | $-0 | $234.2m (-46.7%) | -0.0% | $-0.43 (-114.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in AUD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.