Discounted Cash Flow
Betterware DE Mexico, S.A.p.i. DE C.v Foreign
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 63/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 49%,
net income 60% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $85.8m | $12.3m | $22.0m | 14.3% | — |
| 2018 | $137.1m (59.8%) | $26.6m (116.4%) | $20.0m (-9.3%) | 19.4% (35.4%) | $9.91 |
| 2019 | $182.5m (33.1%) | $41.7m (56.8%) | $35.8m (79.0%) | 22.8% (17.8%) | $15.63 (57.7%) |
| 2020 | $428.2m (134.6%) | $17.7m (-57.7%) | $107.8m (201.0%) | 4.1% (-82.0%) | $8.76 (-44.0%) |
| 2021 | $429.5m (0.3%) | $106.8m (504.7%) | $107.8m (0.0%) | 24.9% (502.8%) | $9.93 (13.4%) |
| 2022 | $680.8m (58.5%) | $51.6m (-51.6%) | $73.0m (-32.3%) | 7.6% (-69.5%) | $23.42 (135.9%) |
| 2023 | $769.6m (13.1%) | $62.1m (20.3%) | $132.3m (81.2%) | 8.1% (6.4%) | $28.18 (20.3%) |
| 2024 | $834.2m (8.4%) | $42.1m (-32.2%) | $95.0m (-28.2%) | 5.0% (-37.4%) | $19.11 (-32.2%) |
| 2025 | $842.6m (1.0%) | $62.8m (49.0%) | $125.6m (32.2%) | 7.4% (47.6%) | $28.48 (49.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in MXN. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.