Discounted Cash Flow
Avis Budget Group, Inc.
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $10.1b | $189.3m | $189.3m | 1.9% | $1.78 |
| 2017 | $10.3b (2.2%) | $419.3m (121.5%) | $3.1b (1524.5%) | 4.1% (116.7%) | $4.32 (142.7%) |
| 2018 | $10.6b (3.1%) | $191.7m (-54.3%) | $191.7m (-93.8%) | 1.8% (-55.7%) | $2.08 (-51.9%) |
| 2019 | $10.7b (0.5%) | $0 (-100.0%) | $3.0b (1467.3%) | 0.0% (-100.0%) | $4.01 (92.8%) |
| 2020 | $6.3b (-41.1%) | $0 | $802.7m (-73.3%) | 0.0% | $-9.71 (-342.1%) |
| 2021 | $10.8b (72.4%) | $1.5b | $4.1b (405.2%) | 13.8% | $19.79 (303.8%) |
| 2022 | $13.9b (28.8%) | $3.2b (115.1%) | $-7.0b (-272.7%) | 23.0% (67.0%) | $58.41 (195.1%) |
| 2023 | $13.9b (0.1%) | $1.9b (-41.0%) | $-13.5b (-92.9%) | 13.6% (-41.0%) | $42.57 (-27.1%) |
| 2024 | $13.7b (-1.8%) | $-2.1b (-211.6%) | $-7.6b (43.7%) | -15.4% (-213.7%) | $-51.23 (-220.3%) |
| 2025 | $13.5b (-1.2%) | $-1.0b (51.2%) | $-1.0b (86.4%) | -7.6% (50.6%) | $-25.25 (50.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.