Discounted Cash Flow
Central Bancompany, Inc.
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Audit / VIE / HFCA: Financial-sector DCF: free cash flow for lenders/insurers includes loan principal and deposits, so FCF ≈ 5-10× net income and is not a valuation proxy; the model shows moderate/unstable predictability and the DCF can be 5-40× market cap (lender pattern).
Sourced live via DEF 14A beneficial_ownership (edgartools proxy) for US filers and 20-F risk_factors (“controls X% of voting power” + VIE/HFCA) for foreign ADRs — cached 12h. A concentrated holder can overrule the DCF’s minority-basis assumptions on dividends, issuance, and delisting.
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $2.1b | $78.8m | $111.2m | 3.8% | $1.57 |
| 2018 | $2.2b (7.8%) | $123.6m (56.8%) | $111.7m (0.5%) | 5.6% (45.4%) | $2.39 (52.2%) |
| 2019 | $2.4b (7.6%) | $92.8m (-24.9%) | $202.3m (81.1%) | 3.9% (-30.2%) | $1.63 (-31.8%) |
| 2020 | $2.7b (13.1%) | $120.7m (30.1%) | $258.0m (27.5%) | 4.5% (15.0%) | $2.23 (36.8%) |
| 2021 | $3.3b (22.6%) | $151.7m (25.7%) | $244.7m (-5.2%) | 4.6% (2.6%) | $2.81 (26.0%) |
| 2022 | $3.3b (1.1%) | $152.2m (0.3%) | $-42.0m (-117.2%) | 4.6% (-0.8%) | $2.29 (-18.5%) |
| 2023 | $3.3b (-0.9%) | $125.6m (-17.4%) | $379.4m (1002.3%) | 3.8% (-16.7%) | $1.92 (-16.2%) |
| 2024 | $905.0m (-72.7%) | $305.8m (143.4%) | $361.4m (-4.8%) | 33.8% (790.3%) | $1.39 (-27.6%) |
| 2025 | $989.9m (9.4%) | $390.9m (27.8%) | $245.0m (-32.2%) | 39.5% (16.8%) | $1.75 (25.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.