Discounted Cash Flow
Ceco Environmental Corp.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 36/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 87%,
net income 80% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $484.4m | $-44.4m | $79.6m | -9.2% | $-1.12 |
| 2017 | $400.8m (-17.3%) | $-3.5m (92.1%) | $6.4m (-91.9%) | -0.9% (90.4%) | $-0.09 (92.0%) |
| 2018 | $391.9m (-2.2%) | $-8.3m (-135.1%) | $21.9m (240.3%) | -2.1% (-140.5%) | $-0.21 (-133.3%) |
| 2019 | $397.1m (1.3%) | $20.6m (348.7%) | $5.3m (-75.8%) | 5.2% (345.4%) | $0.51 (342.9%) |
| 2020 | $367.1m (-7.6%) | $9.5m (-53.6%) | $552.9k (-89.6%) | 2.6% (-49.8%) | $0.23 (-54.9%) |
| 2021 | $376.5m (2.6%) | $1.7m (-82.6%) | $12.4m (2144.1%) | 0.4% (-83.1%) | $0.04 (-82.6%) |
| 2022 | $490.9m (30.4%) | $20.2m (1121.4%) | $30.5m (146.0%) | 4.1% (836.8%) | $0.50 (1150.0%) |
| 2023 | $632.9m (28.9%) | $15.0m (-25.9%) | $42.1m (38.0%) | 2.4% (-42.5%) | $0.37 (-26.0%) |
| 2024 | $648.1m (2.4%) | $15.1m (0.4%) | $8.7m (-79.4%) | 2.3% (-2.0%) | $0.37 (0.0%) |
| 2025 | $899.5m (38.8%) | $58.1m (286.3%) | $-6.4m (-173.5%) | 6.5% (178.3%) | $1.42 (283.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.