Discounted Cash Flow
Celsius Holdings, Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 58/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 66%,
net income 69% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $3.4m | $-457.4k | $-357.0k | -13.5% | $-0.09 |
| 2017 | $5.4m (58.9%) | $-1.2m (-168.6%) | $-1.3m (-253.7%) | -22.8% (-69.1%) | $-0.19 (-111.1%) |
| 2018 | $7.8m (45.5%) | $-1.7m (-36.0%) | $-1.8m (-38.8%) | -21.3% (6.5%) | $-0.23 (-21.1%) |
| 2019 | $11.2m (42.9%) | $1.5m (189.0%) | $142.6k (108.1%) | 13.3% (162.3%) | $0.16 (169.6%) |
| 2020 | $19.5m (74.0%) | $1.3m (-14.5%) | $420.7k (195.1%) | 6.5% (-50.9%) | $0.12 (-25.0%) |
| 2021 | $46.9m (140.4%) | $587.1k (-53.8%) | $587.1k (39.6%) | 1.3% (-80.8%) | $0.05 (-58.3%) |
| 2022 | $97.5m (108.0%) | $-27.9m (-4856.6%) | $14.9m (2437.7%) | -28.7% (-2387.1%) | $-2.63 (-5360.0%) |
| 2023 | $196.5m (101.7%) | $33.8m (221.1%) | $18.5m (23.9%) | 17.2% (160.1%) | $0.79 (130.0%) |
| 2024 | $202.1m (2.9%) | $21.6m (-36.0%) | $35.7m (93.5%) | 10.7% (-37.8%) | $0.46 (-41.8%) |
| 2025 | $375.1m (85.5%) | $16.1m (-25.6%) | $48.2m (35.0%) | 4.3% (-59.9%) | $0.25 (-45.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.