Discounted Cash Flow
Central Puerto S.A. ADR
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 42/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 77%,
net income 81% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $3.1m | $1.2m | $-818.3k | 37.6% | — |
| 2017 | $4.4m (40.3%) | $2.3m (98.3%) | $-1.4m (-67.4%) | 53.2% (41.3%) | — |
| 2018 | $18.2m (316.7%) | $11.6m (399.4%) | $-2.2m (-57.0%) | 63.7% (19.9%) | — |
| 2019 | $35.9m (97.6%) | $5.8m (-49.7%) | $-3.7m (-70.0%) | 16.2% (-74.6%) | — |
| 2020 | $34.5m (-3.9%) | $4.6m (-21.8%) | $4.8m (232.4%) | 13.2% (-18.6%) | — |
| 2021 | $37.7m (9.3%) | $-490.5k (-110.8%) | $-490.5k (-110.1%) | -1.3% (-109.8%) | — |
| 2022 | $67.0m (77.6%) | $12.6m (2665.8%) | $34.6m (7146.1%) | 18.8% (1544.4%) | $85.79 |
| 2023 | $207.3m (209.3%) | $97.9m (677.5%) | $76.5m (121.4%) | 47.2% (151.4%) | $214.55 (150.1%) |
| 2024 | $487.9m (135.4%) | $32.8m (-66.5%) | $76.5m (-0.1%) | 6.7% (-85.8%) | $33.01 (-84.6%) |
| 2025 | $725.4m (48.7%) | $233.2m (611.4%) | $76.5m (0.1%) | 32.2% (378.5%) | $230.61 (598.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in ARS. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.