Discounted Cash Flow
Colliers International Group Inc. Foreign
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 47/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 64%,
net income 70% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.4b | $49.2m | $95.0m | 3.6% | $1.76 |
| 2017 | $1.6b (20.0%) | $35.7m (-27.4%) | $125.5m (32.1%) | 2.2% (-39.5%) | $1.32 (-25.0%) |
| 2018 | $2.0b (24.2%) | $70.7m (98.0%) | $160.6m (28.0%) | 3.5% (59.5%) | $2.49 (88.6%) |
| 2019 | $2.2b (7.8%) | $74.5m (5.4%) | $192.9m (20.1%) | 3.4% (-2.3%) | $2.60 (4.4%) |
| 2020 | $2.1b (-6.0%) | $35.5m (-52.3%) | $91.3m (-52.7%) | 1.7% (-49.3%) | $1.23 (-52.7%) |
| 2021 | $3.1b (47.7%) | $-282.5m (-895.4%) | $167.2m (83.2%) | -9.2% (-638.6%) | $-9.09 (-839.0%) |
| 2022 | $3.2b (5.5%) | $33.5m (111.8%) | $-470.5k (-100.3%) | 1.0% (111.2%) | $1.07 (111.8%) |
| 2023 | $3.1b (-2.8%) | $47.4m (41.7%) | $58.7m (12582.6%) | 1.5% (45.8%) | $1.43 (33.6%) |
| 2024 | $3.5b (11.2%) | $117.1m (146.7%) | $188.9m (221.6%) | 3.4% (121.8%) | $3.24 (126.6%) |
| 2025 | $4.0b (15.3%) | $74.6m (-36.2%) | $182.0m (-3.6%) | 1.9% (-44.7%) | $2.03 (-37.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.