Discounted Cash Flow
Cementos Pacasmayo SAA ADR
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 54/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 70%,
net income 49% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $369.9m | $34.7m | $34.4m | 9.4% | $0.21 |
| 2017 | $365.6m (-1.2%) | $28.0m (-19.3%) | $53.4m (55.4%) | 7.7% (-18.3%) | $0.21 (0.0%) |
| 2018 | $376.5m (3.0%) | $22.9m (-18.2%) | $36.8m (-31.1%) | 6.1% (-20.6%) | $0.18 (-14.3%) |
| 2019 | $415.4m (10.3%) | $39.4m (72.2%) | $38.0m (3.3%) | 9.5% (56.0%) | $0.31 (72.2%) |
| 2020 | $386.7m (-6.9%) | $17.3m (-56.2%) | $84.7m (122.9%) | 4.5% (-52.9%) | $0.14 (-54.8%) |
| 2021 | $578.0m (49.5%) | $66.8m (287.1%) | $25.3m (-70.1%) | 11.6% (159.0%) | $0.36 (157.1%) |
| 2022 | $631.1m (9.2%) | $78.3m (17.1%) | $-15.2m (-160.0%) | 12.4% (7.2%) | $0.41 (13.9%) |
| 2023 | $581.7m (-7.8%) | $73.3m (-6.4%) | $41.7m (374.1%) | 12.6% (1.6%) | $0.39 (-4.9%) |
| 2024 | $590.0m (1.4%) | $88.3m (20.5%) | $76.6m (83.8%) | 15.0% (18.8%) | $0.46 (17.9%) |
| 2025 | $631.4m (7.0%) | $46.0m (-47.9%) | $76.9m (0.4%) | 7.3% (-51.4%) | $0.36 (-21.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in PEN. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.