Discounted Cash Flow
Cresud Inc. ADR
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 44/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 74%,
net income 83% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $44.8m | $-3.4m | $10.9m | -7.7% | $-1.25 |
| 2018 | $25.7m (-42.6%) | $3.6m (203.4%) | $11.2m (2.1%) | 13.8% (280.2%) | $10.86 (968.8%) |
| 2019 | $54.6m (112.0%) | $-12.4m (-447.7%) | $11.8m (5.8%) | -22.7% (-264.0%) | $-38.34 (-453.0%) |
| 2020 | $80.0m (46.7%) | $2.6m (121.0%) | $23.6m (99.9%) | 3.2% (114.3%) | $-7.87 (79.5%) |
| 2021 | $28.0m (-65.0%) | $6.5m (152.6%) | $9.6m (-59.2%) | 23.4% (622.2%) | $-23.84 (-202.9%) |
| 2022 | $63.3m (126.0%) | $42.9m (554.7%) | $-7.5m (-177.7%) | 67.8% (189.7%) | $4836.78 (20388.5%) |
| 2023 | $650.9m (929.0%) | $3.6m (-91.6%) | $-39.7m (-431.4%) | 0.6% (-99.2%) | $3731.35 (-22.9%) |
| 2024 | $633.2m (-2.7%) | $51.8m (1337.5%) | $-28.8m (27.5%) | 8.2% (1377.9%) | $2129.09 (-42.9%) |
| 2025 | $603.3m (-4.7%) | $63.5m (22.5%) | $99.9m (446.5%) | 10.5% (28.6%) | $1594.61 (-25.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in ARS. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.