Discounted Cash Flow
Carters Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 62/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 54%,
net income 42% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $2.5b | $219.1m | $188.3m | 8.9% | $6.31 |
| 2018 | $2.5b (1.8%) | $204.2m (-6.8%) | $211.6m (12.4%) | 8.1% (-8.5%) | $6.06 (-4.0%) |
| 2019 | $2.5b (1.6%) | $190.9m (-6.5%) | $235.8m (11.4%) | 7.5% (-8.0%) | $5.89 (-2.8%) |
| 2020 | $2.2b (-14.1%) | $79.4m (-58.4%) | $403.2m (71.0%) | 3.6% (-51.6%) | $2.51 (-57.4%) |
| 2021 | $2.2b (0.0%) | $79.4m (0.0%) | $403.2m (0.0%) | 3.6% (0.0%) | $2.51 (0.0%) |
| 2022 | $2.3b (6.2%) | $181.0m (127.9%) | $164.9m (-59.1%) | 7.8% (114.5%) | $6.34 (152.6%) |
| 2023 | $2.1b (-8.3%) | $168.3m (-7.0%) | $339.6m (105.9%) | 7.9% (1.4%) | $6.24 (-1.6%) |
| 2024 | $2.1b (-3.4%) | $134.3m (-20.2%) | $175.6m (-48.3%) | 6.5% (-17.4%) | $5.12 (-17.9%) |
| 2025 | $2.1b (1.9%) | $66.4m (-50.5%) | $49.7m (-71.7%) | 3.2% (-51.4%) | $2.53 (-50.6%) |
| 2026 | $2.1b (0.0%) | $66.4m (0.0%) | $49.7m (0.0%) | 3.2% (0.0%) | $1.55 (-38.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.