Discounted Cash Flow
Criteo S.A. ADR
—
—
Cash flow predictability 79/100 (stable) —
FCF YoY std dev 23%,
net income 60% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.1b | $95.9m | $178.8m | 4.6% | $1.30 |
| 2017 | $2.7b (27.7%) | $106.3m (10.9%) | $286.0m (59.9%) | 4.0% (-13.1%) | $1.40 (7.7%) |
| 2018 | $2.7b (0.2%) | $103.3m (-2.8%) | $303.8m (6.2%) | 3.9% (-3.0%) | $1.33 (-5.0%) |
| 2019 | $2.6b (-1.7%) | $105.7m (2.4%) | $259.6m (-14.5%) | 4.0% (4.1%) | $1.41 (6.0%) |
| 2020 | $2.4b (-8.4%) | $83.5m (-21.0%) | $216.0m (-16.8%) | 3.5% (-13.8%) | $1.18 (-16.3%) |
| 2021 | $2.6b (8.8%) | $156.7m (87.6%) | $257.4m (19.2%) | 6.0% (72.5%) | $2.21 (87.3%) |
| 2022 | $2.4b (-10.5%) | $10.4m (-93.3%) | $298.3m (15.9%) | 0.4% (-92.6%) | $0.15 (-93.2%) |
| 2023 | $2.3b (-3.3%) | $62.1m (494.9%) | $261.3m (-12.4%) | 2.7% (515.6%) | $0.95 (533.3%) |
| 2024 | $2.3b (-0.8%) | $130.0m (109.5%) | $300.8m (15.1%) | 5.8% (111.2%) | $2.04 (114.7%) |
| 2025 | $2.3b (0.6%) | $168.5m (29.6%) | $362.7m (20.6%) | 7.4% (28.8%) | $2.73 (33.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.