Discounted Cash Flow
Darling Ingredients Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 53/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 58%,
net income 58% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $4.3b | $149.2m | $158.5m | 3.5% | $0.78 |
| 2018 | $3.9b (-7.5%) | $117.9m (-21.0%) | $89.1m (-43.8%) | 3.0% (-14.6%) | $0.62 (-20.5%) |
| 2019 | $3.9b (-0.7%) | $363.1m (208.0%) | $3.6m (-95.9%) | 9.3% (210.2%) | $1.90 (206.5%) |
| 2020 | $4.1b (6.2%) | $344.8m (-5.0%) | $400.2m (10932.2%) | 8.3% (-10.6%) | $1.83 (-3.7%) |
| 2021 | $4.1b (0.0%) | $344.8m (0.0%) | $400.2m (0.0%) | 8.3% (0.0%) | $1.83 (0.0%) |
| 2022 | $7.6b (82.9%) | $856.9m (148.5%) | $363.7m (-9.1%) | 11.3% (35.9%) | $4.58 (150.3%) |
| 2023 | $7.9b (3.9%) | $752.4m (-12.2%) | $399.3m (9.8%) | 9.5% (-15.5%) | $4.05 (-11.6%) |
| 2024 | $6.6b (-15.8%) | $323.9m (-56.9%) | $588.7m (47.4%) | 4.9% (-48.9%) | $1.75 (-56.8%) |
| 2025 | $7.1b (7.4%) | $73.0m (-77.5%) | $73.0m (-87.6%) | 1.0% (-79.0%) | $0.40 (-77.1%) |
| 2026 | $7.1b (0.0%) | $73.0m (0.0%) | $73.0m (0.0%) | 1.0% (0.0%) | $0.40 (0.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.