Discounted Cash Flow

Equifax Inc.

EFX · Based on 10 years of SEC filings · Converted from BRL to USD

⚠ Cash flow predictability 50/100 (moderate) — FCF YoY std dev 72%, net income 53% (full history)

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $613.7m $95.4m $121.4m 15.5% $4.10
2017 $656.1m (6.9%) $114.6m (20.2%) $116.7m (-3.9%) 17.5% (12.4%) $4.89 (19.3%)
2018 $665.8m (1.5%) $58.5m (-49.0%) $68.4m (-41.4%) 8.8% (-49.7%) $2.49 (-49.1%)
2019 $684.5m (2.8%) $-77.8m (-233.0%) $-16.7m (-124.5%) -11.4% (-229.4%) $-3.30 (-232.5%)
2020 $805.4m (17.7%) $101.5m (230.4%) $102.4m (711.8%) 12.6% (210.8%) $4.28 (229.7%)
2021 $960.8m (19.3%) $145.2m (43.1%) $169.0m (64.9%) 15.1% (19.9%) $6.11 (42.8%)
2022 $999.5m (4.0%) $135.9m (-6.4%) $25.9m (-84.7%) 13.6% (-10.1%) $5.69 (-6.9%)
2023 $1.0b (2.8%) $106.4m (-21.7%) $100.6m (288.8%) 10.4% (-23.8%) $4.44 (-22.0%)
2024 $1.1b (7.9%) $117.9m (10.8%) $158.6m (57.7%) 10.6% (2.7%) $4.88 (9.9%)
2025 $1.2b (6.9%) $128.9m (9.3%) $221.3m (39.5%) 10.9% (2.2%) $5.36 (9.8%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

SEC filings report in BRL. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model