Discounted Cash Flow
Energy Co. of Parana ADR
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 48/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 59%,
net income 51% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.6b | $272.1m | $37.5m | 10.6% | — |
| 2017 | $2.7b (7.0%) | $271.8m (-0.1%) | $-42.2m (-212.4%) | 9.9% (-6.7%) | — |
| 2018 | $2.9b (6.5%) | $381.7m (40.4%) | $55.0m (230.3%) | 13.1% (31.9%) | — |
| 2019 | $3.2b (8.8%) | $527.3m (38.1%) | $468.7m (752.0%) | 16.6% (27.0%) | — |
| 2020 | $3.6b (14.7%) | $999.0m (89.5%) | $724.9m (54.7%) | 27.5% (65.2%) | — |
| 2021 | $4.7b (28.7%) | $998.9m (-0.0%) | $594.9m (-17.9%) | 21.3% (-22.3%) | — |
| 2022 | $4.3b (-8.6%) | $185.4m (-81.4%) | $657.1m (10.4%) | 4.3% (-79.7%) | $1.45 |
| 2023 | $4.2b (-2.0%) | $485.8m (162.0%) | $646.6m (-1.6%) | 11.6% (167.5%) | $2.39 (65.3%) |
| 2024 | $4.4b (5.5%) | $567.3m (16.8%) | $635.4m (-1.7%) | 12.8% (10.7%) | $2.38 (-0.4%) |
| 2025 | $5.1b (15.3%) | $633.6m (11.7%) | $559.3m (-12.0%) | 12.4% (-3.1%) | $0.90 (-62.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in BRL. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.