Discounted Cash Flow
Escalade Inc.
—
Sales growth has weakened: 0.0% (2022) → -16.0% (2023) → -4.6% (2024) → -4.5% (2025). Revenue growth has been decelerating or declining in recent years and is now -4.5% — a slowing company may not sustain the growth the DCF projects, so the valuation could be overstated.
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $194.7m | $13.4m | $11.1m | 6.9% | $0.81 |
| 2017 | $206.0m (5.8%) | $16.3m (22.3%) | $12.3m (11.6%) | 7.9% (15.7%) | $0.98 (21.0%) |
| 2018 | $227.4m (10.4%) | $23.7m (45.4%) | $4.3m (-65.3%) | 10.4% (31.7%) | $1.42 (44.9%) |
| 2019 | $236.2m (3.9%) | $8.4m (-64.5%) | $16.1m (275.6%) | 3.6% (-65.8%) | $0.50 (-64.8%) |
| 2020 | $317.9m (34.6%) | $30.1m (257.3%) | $-3.3m (-120.4%) | 9.5% (165.6%) | $1.84 (268.0%) |
| 2021 | $364.3m (14.6%) | $28.3m (-5.9%) | $-10.2m (-210.3%) | 7.8% (-17.9%) | $1.78 (-3.3%) |
| 2022 | $364.5m (0.0%) | $20.9m (-26.3%) | $7.4m (173.2%) | 5.7% (-26.3%) | $1.33 (-25.3%) |
| 2023 | $306.2m (-16.0%) | $11.4m (-45.4%) | $53.7m (621.1%) | 3.7% (-35.0%) | $0.72 (-45.9%) |
| 2024 | $292.2m (-4.6%) | $15.1m (32.1%) | $39.5m (-26.5%) | 5.2% (38.5%) | $0.94 (30.6%) |
| 2025 | $279.0m (-4.5%) | $15.9m (5.5%) | $33.1m (-16.2%) | 5.7% (10.5%) | $1.00 (6.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.