Discounted Cash Flow
Fabrinet
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 59/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 65%,
net income 21% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $29.6m | $1.9m | $196.2k | 6.3% | $1.73 |
| 2017 | $43.1m (45.4%) | $2.9m (56.9%) | $81.0k (-58.7%) | 6.8% (7.9%) | $2.63 (52.0%) |
| 2018 | $41.6m (-3.4%) | $2.6m (-13.3%) | $3.2m (3801.8%) | 6.1% (-10.3%) | $2.26 (-14.1%) |
| 2019 | $48.0m (15.5%) | $3.7m (43.7%) | $3.9m (23.5%) | 7.6% (24.4%) | $3.29 (45.6%) |
| 2020 | $49.8m (3.6%) | $3.4m (-6.2%) | $3.3m (-15.8%) | 6.9% (-9.5%) | $3.07 (-6.7%) |
| 2021 | $57.0m (14.5%) | $4.5m (30.7%) | $2.3m (-29.7%) | 7.9% (14.2%) | $4.02 (30.9%) |
| 2022 | $68.6m (20.4%) | $6.1m (35.1%) | $1.1m (-54.5%) | 8.9% (12.2%) | $5.43 (35.1%) |
| 2023 | $80.2m (16.9%) | $7.5m (23.7%) | $4.6m (338.4%) | 9.4% (5.8%) | $6.79 (25.0%) |
| 2024 | $87.4m (9.0%) | $9.0m (19.5%) | $11.1m (140.6%) | 10.3% (9.6%) | $8.17 (20.3%) |
| 2025 | $103.6m (18.6%) | $10.1m (12.3%) | $6.3m (-43.3%) | 9.7% (-5.3%) | $9.23 (13.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in THB. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.