Discounted Cash Flow
Griffon Corp.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 62/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 45%,
net income 79% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.4b | $21.7m | $-33.6m | 1.5% | $0.73 |
| 2017 | $1.1b (-22.1%) | $10.8m (-50.3%) | $9.6m (128.4%) | 1.0% (-36.2%) | $0.36 (-50.7%) |
| 2018 | $1.4b (29.7%) | $91.0m (742.8%) | $7.0m (-26.9%) | 6.4% (549.8%) | $3.06 (750.0%) |
| 2019 | $1.6b (11.7%) | $27.0m (-70.3%) | $13.0m (86.2%) | 1.7% (-73.4%) | $0.91 (-70.3%) |
| 2020 | $1.7b (9.0%) | $38.7m (43.3%) | $10.2m (-21.3%) | 2.2% (31.5%) | $1.25 (37.4%) |
| 2021 | $1.6b (-5.7%) | $57.3m (48.3%) | $17.2m (68.5%) | 3.5% (57.2%) | $1.56 (24.8%) |
| 2022 | $2.1b (25.4%) | $-138.6m (-341.8%) | $25.9m (50.2%) | -6.7% (-292.8%) | $-3.71 (-337.8%) |
| 2023 | $1.9b (-5.7%) | $56.2m (140.5%) | $26.2m (1.2%) | 2.9% (143.0%) | $1.49 (140.2%) |
| 2024 | $1.9b (-2.3%) | $151.9m (170.4%) | $23.4m (-10.9%) | 8.0% (176.8%) | $4.41 (196.0%) |
| 2025 | $1.8b (-3.9%) | $37.0m (-75.6%) | $29.3m (25.3%) | 2.0% (-74.6%) | $1.13 (-74.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.