Discounted Cash Flow
Gold Fields Ltd. ADR
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 55/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 55%,
net income 77% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $165.1m | $9.8m | $38.5m | 5.9% | $0.19 |
| 2017 | $171.0m (3.6%) | $-1.2m (-111.8%) | $24.1m (-37.5%) | -0.7% (-111.4%) | $-0.04 (-121.1%) |
| 2018 | $159.6m (-6.7%) | $-21.6m (-1762.0%) | $10.8m (-55.1%) | -13.5% (-1894.9%) | $-0.42 (-950.0%) |
| 2019 | $183.8m (15.1%) | $10.0m (146.4%) | $41.6m (285.7%) | 5.4% (140.3%) | $0.20 (147.6%) |
| 2020 | $241.0m (31.2%) | $44.8m (347.4%) | $73.4m (76.4%) | 18.6% (241.1%) | $0.82 (310.0%) |
| 2021 | $259.8m (7.8%) | $48.9m (9.2%) | $72.9m (-0.8%) | 18.8% (1.3%) | $0.89 (8.5%) |
| 2022 | $265.5m (2.2%) | $44.0m (-9.9%) | $90.9m (24.7%) | 16.6% (-11.8%) | $0.80 (-10.1%) |
| 2023 | $278.7m (5.0%) | $43.6m (-1.1%) | $72.0m (-20.8%) | 15.6% (-5.8%) | $0.79 (-1.3%) |
| 2024 | $322.1m (15.6%) | $77.1m (77.0%) | $98.8m (37.3%) | 23.9% (53.2%) | $1.39 (75.9%) |
| 2025 | $542.0m (68.2%) | $327.9m (325.3%) | $266.9m (170.1%) | 60.5% (152.8%) | $3.99 (187.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in ZAR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.