Discounted Cash Flow

Gold Fields Ltd. ADR

GFI · Based on 10 years of SEC filings · Converted from ZAR to USD

⚠ Cash flow predictability 55/100 (moderate) — FCF YoY std dev 55%, net income 77% (full history)

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $165.1m $9.8m $38.5m 5.9% $0.19
2017 $171.0m (3.6%) $-1.2m (-111.8%) $24.1m (-37.5%) -0.7% (-111.4%) $-0.04 (-121.1%)
2018 $159.6m (-6.7%) $-21.6m (-1762.0%) $10.8m (-55.1%) -13.5% (-1894.9%) $-0.42 (-950.0%)
2019 $183.8m (15.1%) $10.0m (146.4%) $41.6m (285.7%) 5.4% (140.3%) $0.20 (147.6%)
2020 $241.0m (31.2%) $44.8m (347.4%) $73.4m (76.4%) 18.6% (241.1%) $0.82 (310.0%)
2021 $259.8m (7.8%) $48.9m (9.2%) $72.9m (-0.8%) 18.8% (1.3%) $0.89 (8.5%)
2022 $265.5m (2.2%) $44.0m (-9.9%) $90.9m (24.7%) 16.6% (-11.8%) $0.80 (-10.1%)
2023 $278.7m (5.0%) $43.6m (-1.1%) $72.0m (-20.8%) 15.6% (-5.8%) $0.79 (-1.3%)
2024 $322.1m (15.6%) $77.1m (77.0%) $98.8m (37.3%) 23.9% (53.2%) $1.39 (75.9%)
2025 $542.0m (68.2%) $327.9m (325.3%) $266.9m (170.1%) 60.5% (152.8%) $3.99 (187.1%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

SEC filings report in ZAR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model