Discounted Cash Flow
G III Apparel Group Ltd.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 39/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 76%,
net income 75% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.7b | $37.6m | $58.5m | 2.2% | $1.12 |
| 2018 | $2.0b (17.6%) | $45.0m (19.6%) | $32.7m (-44.0%) | 2.2% (1.7%) | $1.27 (13.4%) |
| 2019 | $2.2b (9.6%) | $99.9m (122.2%) | $54.0m (65.0%) | 4.5% (102.8%) | $2.81 (121.3%) |
| 2020 | $2.3b (2.7%) | $104.1m (4.2%) | $123.8m (129.2%) | 4.6% (1.4%) | $2.98 (6.0%) |
| 2021 | $1.5b (-35.0%) | $17.0m (-83.6%) | $42.5m (-65.7%) | 1.1% (-74.8%) | $0.49 (-83.6%) |
| 2022 | $2.0b (34.6%) | $145.2m (752.0%) | $124.9m (193.8%) | 7.3% (532.9%) | $4.14 (744.9%) |
| 2023 | $2.3b (16.6%) | $-96.3m (-166.3%) | $-91.3m (-173.1%) | -4.1% (-156.9%) | $-2.79 (-167.4%) |
| 2024 | $2.2b (-4.0%) | $127.5m (232.4%) | $407.4m (546.3%) | 5.7% (237.9%) | $3.84 (237.6%) |
| 2025 | $2.3b (2.7%) | $140.1m (9.9%) | $199.0m (-51.2%) | 6.1% (7.0%) | $4.35 (13.3%) |
| 2026 | $2.1b (-7.0%) | $48.7m (-65.2%) | $191.0m (-4.0%) | 2.3% (-62.6%) | $1.58 (-63.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.