Discounted Cash Flow
Genie Energy Ltd.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 58/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 54%,
net income 76% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $246.4m | $-28.5m | $17.4m | -11.6% | $-1.14 |
| 2017 | $306.9m (24.6%) | $-8.1m (71.5%) | $7.1m (-59.3%) | -2.6% (77.1%) | $-0.36 (68.4%) |
| 2018 | $325.6m (6.1%) | $26.5m (425.8%) | $21.8m (208.6%) | 8.1% (407.1%) | $0.85 (336.1%) |
| 2019 | $366.2m (12.5%) | $4.8m (-81.7%) | $17.8m (-18.3%) | 1.3% (-83.7%) | $0.10 (-88.2%) |
| 2020 | $440.6m (20.3%) | $15.3m (215.1%) | $26.7m (49.5%) | 3.5% (161.9%) | $0.45 (350.0%) |
| 2021 | $422.5m (-4.1%) | $33.9m (122.1%) | $77.7m (191.3%) | 8.0% (131.6%) | $1.06 (135.6%) |
| 2022 | $366.5m (-13.2%) | $102.0m (200.6%) | $92.5m (19.1%) | 27.8% (246.5%) | $3.35 (216.0%) |
| 2023 | $498.0m (35.9%) | $22.7m (-77.7%) | $71.0m (-23.3%) | 4.6% (-83.6%) | $0.75 (-77.6%) |
| 2024 | $493.9m (-0.8%) | $14.6m (-35.6%) | $80.7m (13.7%) | 3.0% (-35.0%) | $0.47 (-37.3%) |
| 2025 | $583.1m (18.1%) | $27.9m (90.7%) | $51.6m (-36.1%) | 4.8% (61.5%) | $0.91 (93.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.