Discounted Cash Flow
Global Net Lease, Inc. REIT
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 53/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 58%,
net income 64% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $289.6m | $63.7m | $154.4m | 22.0% | — |
| 2017 | $350.6m (21.1%) | $28.0m (-56.0%) | $172.8m (11.9%) | 8.0% (-63.7%) | — |
| 2018 | $381.5m (8.8%) | $1.5m (-94.8%) | $193.5m (12.0%) | 0.4% (-95.2%) | — |
| 2019 | $414.0m (8.5%) | $46.7m (3091.8%) | $173.9m (-10.1%) | 11.3% (2841.5%) | $0.40 |
| 2020 | $446.3m (7.8%) | $-10.5m (-122.5%) | $-10.5m (-106.0%) | -2.4% (-120.9%) | $-0.09 (-122.5%) |
| 2021 | $528.9m (18.5%) | $-11.8m (-11.9%) | $-11.8m (-11.9%) | -2.2% (5.6%) | $-0.20 (-122.2%) |
| 2022 | $512.2m (-3.2%) | $-11.3m (3.9%) | $-11.3m (3.9%) | -2.2% (0.7%) | $-0.09 (55.0%) |
| 2023 | $696.4m (36.0%) | $-323.6m (-2762.0%) | $130.4m (1253.3%) | -46.5% (-2005.1%) | $-1.71 (-1800.0%) |
| 2024 | $1.1b (56.3%) | $-237.0m (26.8%) | $343.2m (163.2%) | -21.8% (53.1%) | $-0.76 (55.6%) |
| 2025 | $669.6m (-38.5%) | $-364.0m (-53.6%) | $256.1m (-25.4%) | -54.4% (-149.6%) | $-1.21 (-59.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in GBP. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.