Discounted Cash Flow
Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Foreign
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 56/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 71%,
net income 56% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $292.2m | $15.7m | $17.0m | 5.4% | $0.22 |
| 2018 | $427.9m (46.4%) | $69.5m (343.9%) | $72.5m (325.4%) | 16.2% (203.2%) | $0.90 (309.1%) |
| 2019 | $601.1m (40.5%) | $103.9m (49.5%) | $31.2m (-56.9%) | 17.3% (6.4%) | $1.31 (45.6%) |
| 2020 | $693.5m (15.4%) | $109.8m (5.6%) | $12.4m (-60.1%) | 15.8% (-8.4%) | $1.38 (5.3%) |
| 2021 | $654.1m (-5.7%) | $50.8m (-53.7%) | $193.1m (1451.2%) | 7.8% (-50.9%) | $0.64 (-53.6%) |
| 2022 | $795.0m (21.5%) | $68.5m (34.8%) | $84.8m (-56.1%) | 8.6% (10.9%) | $0.87 (35.9%) |
| 2023 | $880.8m (10.8%) | $49.9m (-27.2%) | $51.5m (-39.3%) | 5.7% (-34.3%) | $0.69 (-20.7%) |
| 2024 | $965.4m (9.6%) | $42.1m (-15.7%) | $79.4m (54.3%) | 4.4% (-23.1%) | $0.58 (-15.9%) |
| 2025 | $975.9m (1.1%) | $75.0m (78.3%) | $198.8m (150.4%) | 7.7% (76.4%) | $0.98 (69.0%) |
| 2026 | $1.1b (13.3%) | $20.1m (-73.2%) | $108.1m (-45.6%) | 1.8% (-76.3%) | $0.23 (-76.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.