Discounted Cash Flow
Guidewire Software, Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 44/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 62%,
net income 89% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $114.1m | $4.0m | $24.9m | 3.5% | $0.21 |
| 2017 | $138.2m (21.2%) | $5.7m (41.7%) | $35.3m (41.5%) | 4.1% (17.0%) | $0.29 (38.1%) |
| 2018 | $175.5m (26.9%) | $-7.2m (-226.0%) | $35.2m (-0.2%) | -4.1% (-199.3%) | $-0.34 (-217.2%) |
| 2019 | $193.4m (10.2%) | $5.6m (177.5%) | $19.1m (-45.7%) | 2.9% (170.3%) | $0.25 (173.5%) |
| 2020 | $199.5m (3.2%) | $-7.3m (-231.2%) | $24.6m (28.8%) | -3.7% (-227.2%) | $-0.33 (-232.0%) |
| 2021 | $199.8m (0.1%) | $-17.9m (-144.5%) | $24.9m (1.0%) | -8.9% (-144.2%) | $-0.79 (-139.4%) |
| 2022 | $218.4m (9.3%) | $-48.5m (-171.3%) | $-12.8m (-151.3%) | -22.2% (-148.1%) | $-2.16 (-173.4%) |
| 2023 | $243.3m (11.4%) | $-30.1m (38.0%) | $8.8m (168.6%) | -12.4% (44.4%) | $-1.36 (37.0%) |
| 2024 | $263.5m (8.3%) | $-1.6m (94.5%) | $50.9m (481.4%) | -0.6% (95.0%) | $-0.07 (94.9%) |
| 2025 | $323.2m (22.6%) | $18.8m (1243.8%) | $79.3m (55.8%) | 5.8% (1032.6%) | $0.83 (1285.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in PLN. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.