Discounted Cash Flow
W.w. Grainger, Inc.
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $11.8b | $703.8m | $834.9m | 6.0% | $9.94 |
| 2017 | $12.1b (2.8%) | $680.4m (-3.3%) | $951.7m (14.0%) | 5.6% (-6.0%) | $10.07 (1.3%) |
| 2018 | $13.0b (7.6%) | $908.4m (33.5%) | $950.2m (-0.2%) | 7.0% (24.0%) | $13.82 (37.2%) |
| 2019 | $13.3b (2.4%) | $986.2m (8.6%) | $953.7m (0.4%) | 7.4% (6.1%) | $15.39 (11.4%) |
| 2020 | $13.7b (2.7%) | $807.3m (-18.1%) | $1.1b (12.8%) | 5.9% (-20.3%) | $12.88 (-16.3%) |
| 2021 | $15.1b (10.4%) | $1.2b (50.1%) | $792.2m (-26.3%) | 8.0% (36.0%) | $19.94 (54.8%) |
| 2022 | $17.7b (16.9%) | $1.8b (48.3%) | $1.3b (57.9%) | 10.2% (26.8%) | $30.22 (51.6%) |
| 2023 | $19.1b (8.2%) | $2.1b (18.2%) | $1.8b (47.3%) | 11.1% (9.3%) | $36.39 (20.4%) |
| 2024 | $19.9b (4.2%) | $2.2b (4.4%) | $1.8b (-1.0%) | 11.1% (0.2%) | $38.84 (6.7%) |
| 2025 | $20.8b (4.5%) | $2.0b (-10.6%) | $1.5b (-15.2%) | 9.5% (-14.5%) | $35.47 (-8.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.