Discounted Cash Flow
GXO Logistics, Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 50/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 55%,
net income 87% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $7.1b | $69.7m | $-89.4m | 1.0% | $0.52 |
| 2020 | $7.2b (1.7%) | $-36.0m (-151.7%) | $128.9m (244.2%) | -0.5% (-150.8%) | $-0.27 (-151.9%) |
| 2021 | $9.2b (28.2%) | $177.7m (593.5%) | $238.1m (84.7%) | 1.9% (485.1%) | $1.33 (592.6%) |
| 2022 | $10.4b (13.3%) | $232.3m (30.7%) | $232.3m (-2.4%) | 2.2% (15.4%) | $1.68 (26.3%) |
| 2023 | $11.4b (8.7%) | $8.1m (-96.5%) | $329.9m (42.0%) | 0.1% (-96.8%) | $1.93 (14.9%) |
| 2024 | $13.6b (19.7%) | $2.3m (-71.4%) | $220.7m (-33.1%) | 0.0% (-76.1%) | $1.12 (-42.0%) |
| 2025 | $15.3b (12.5%) | $39.5m (1600.0%) | $127.8m (-42.1%) | 0.3% (1410.5%) | $0.28 (-75.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.