Discounted Cash Flow

Hubbell Inc.

HUBB · Based on 10 years of SEC filings · Converted from BRL to USD

⚠ Cash flow predictability 69/100 (moderate) — FCF YoY std dev 50%, net income 21% (full history)

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $684.0m $57.2m $64.6m 8.4% $5.26
2017 $715.9m (4.7%) $47.4m (-17.0%) $58.4m (-9.6%) 6.6% (-20.7%) $4.42 (-16.0%)
2018 $874.6m (22.2%) $70.3m (48.2%) $82.1m (40.6%) 8.0% (21.3%) $6.57 (48.6%)
2019 $895.9m (2.4%) $78.2m (11.3%) $97.1m (18.2%) 8.7% (8.6%) $7.35 (11.9%)
2020 $816.9m (-8.8%) $68.5m (-12.4%) $109.2m (12.4%) 8.4% (-3.9%) $6.46 (-12.1%)
2021 $818.4m (0.2%) $78.0m (13.8%) $-11.7m (-110.7%) 9.5% (13.5%) $7.33 (13.5%)
2022 $965.5m (18.0%) $106.5m (36.6%) $98.9m (943.4%) 11.0% (15.8%) $10.13 (38.2%)
2023 $1.0b (8.6%) $148.3m (39.2%) $139.5m (41.1%) 14.1% (28.2%) $14.14 (39.6%)
2024 $1.1b (4.8%) $151.8m (2.4%) $158.2m (13.4%) 13.8% (-2.3%) $14.46 (2.3%)
2025 $1.1b (3.8%) $173.1m (14.1%) $170.7m (7.9%) 15.2% (9.8%) $16.63 (15.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

SEC filings report in BRL. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model