Discounted Cash Flow
Hyster-yale, Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 35/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 82%,
net income 62% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $501.5m | $8.4m | $-17.9m | 1.7% | $2.61 |
| 2017 | $563.0m (12.3%) | $9.5m (13.6%) | $24.1m (235.0%) | 1.7% (1.1%) | $2.95 (13.0%) |
| 2018 | $619.5m (10.0%) | $6.8m (-28.6%) | $5.6m (-76.7%) | 1.1% (-35.1%) | $2.10 (-28.8%) |
| 2019 | $642.4m (3.7%) | $7.0m (3.2%) | $5.3m (-6.2%) | 1.1% (-0.5%) | $2.15 (2.4%) |
| 2020 | $548.8m (-14.6%) | $7.2m (3.6%) | $22.5m (326.7%) | 1.3% (21.3%) | $2.21 (2.8%) |
| 2021 | $600.2m (9.4%) | $-33.8m (-566.3%) | $-58.1m (-358.5%) | -5.6% (-526.3%) | $-10.29 (-565.6%) |
| 2022 | $692.4m (15.4%) | $-14.5m (57.2%) | $2.3m (104.0%) | -2.1% (62.9%) | $-4.38 (57.4%) |
| 2023 | $803.6m (16.1%) | $24.6m (269.9%) | $22.5m (877.1%) | 3.1% (246.4%) | $7.35 (267.8%) |
| 2024 | $840.7m (4.6%) | $27.8m (13.0%) | $24.0m (6.6%) | 3.3% (8.0%) | $8.16 (11.0%) |
| 2025 | $735.5m (-12.5%) | $-11.7m (-142.2%) | $4.6m (-80.8%) | -1.6% (-148.3%) | $-3.40 (-141.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in BRL. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.