Discounted Cash Flow
Imperial OIL Ltd.
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $18.1b | $1.6b | $681.8m | 8.6% | $2.55 |
| 2017 | $21.1b (16.3%) | $354.7m (-77.4%) | $1.3b (87.9%) | 1.7% (-80.5%) | $0.58 (-77.3%) |
| 2018 | $25.3b (20.0%) | $1.7b (372.2%) | $1.8b (37.3%) | 6.6% (293.4%) | $2.87 (394.8%) |
| 2019 | $24.6b (-2.8%) | $1.6b (-4.9%) | $2.0b (14.9%) | 6.5% (-2.2%) | $2.88 (0.3%) |
| 2020 | $16.1b (-34.5%) | $-1.3b (-184.4%) | $-50.7m (-102.5%) | -8.3% (-228.8%) | $-2.53 (-187.8%) |
| 2021 | $27.1b (68.3%) | $1.8b (233.5%) | $3.2b (6340.0%) | 6.6% (179.3%) | $3.48 (237.5%) |
| 2022 | $43.2b (59.1%) | $5.3b (196.1%) | $6.5b (105.0%) | 12.3% (86.1%) | $11.47 (229.6%) |
| 2023 | $36.9b (-14.6%) | $3.5b (-33.4%) | $1.4b (-78.2%) | 9.6% (-22.0%) | $8.51 (-25.8%) |
| 2024 | $37.3b (1.1%) | $3.5b (-2.0%) | $3.0b (111.1%) | 9.3% (-3.1%) | $9.05 (6.3%) |
| 2025 | $34.1b (-8.6%) | $2.4b (-31.8%) | $3.4b (14.3%) | 6.9% (-25.3%) | $6.50 (-28.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.