Discounted Cash Flow
Orix Corp. ADR
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $17.4b | $1.8b | $3.8b | 10.2% | $208.68 |
| 2018 | $18.6b (6.9%) | $2 (-100.0%) | $3.5b (-6.4%) | 0.0% (-100.0%) | — |
| 2019 | $15.8b (-14.9%) | $2.1b (132600860027.0%) | $3.8b (7.5%) | 13.3% (155904353057.5%) | — |
| 2020 | $14.8b (-6.3%) | $2.0b (-6.5%) | $6.8b (77.4%) | 13.3% (-0.2%) | — |
| 2021 | $14.9b (0.5%) | $1.2b (-36.4%) | $7.1b (5.1%) | 8.4% (-36.8%) | — |
| 2022 | $8.1b (-45.6%) | $2.0b (62.2%) | $7.2b (0.7%) | 25.0% (198.5%) | — |
| 2023 | $8.5b (4.6%) | $1.8b (-12.5%) | $5.9b (-17.2%) | 21.0% (-16.4%) | — |
| 2024 | $8.4b (-0.3%) | $2.2b (26.8%) | $8.1b (36.2%) | 26.6% (27.1%) | — |
| 2025 | $8.8b (4.0%) | $2.3b (1.6%) | $8.4b (4.6%) | 26.0% (-2.3%) | — |
| 2026 | $9.8b (11.2%) | $2.9b (27.2%) | $8.9b (5.3%) | 29.7% (14.4%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in JPY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.