Discounted Cash Flow
James Hardie Industries Plc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 49/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 78%,
net income 44% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.4b | $199.8m | $137.4m | 14.4% | $0.62 |
| 2018 | $1.5b (6.9%) | $105.6m (-47.2%) | $66.0m (-52.0%) | 7.1% (-50.6%) | $0.33 (-46.8%) |
| 2019 | $1.8b (22.0%) | $165.3m (56.6%) | $-9.8m (-114.8%) | 9.1% (28.4%) | $0.52 (57.6%) |
| 2020 | $1.9b (4.0%) | $174.5m (5.6%) | $186.0m (2006.7%) | 9.3% (1.5%) | $0.55 (5.8%) |
| 2021 | $2.1b (11.6%) | $189.9m (8.8%) | $488.5m (162.7%) | 9.0% (-2.5%) | $0.59 (7.3%) |
| 2022 | $2.6b (24.3%) | $331.7m (74.7%) | $360.8m (-26.1%) | 12.7% (40.6%) | $1.03 (74.6%) |
| 2023 | $2.7b (4.5%) | $369.9m (11.5%) | $11.8m (-96.7%) | 13.6% (6.7%) | $1.15 (11.7%) |
| 2024 | $2.8b (4.2%) | $368.6m (-0.4%) | $335.9m (2752.1%) | 13.0% (-4.4%) | $1.16 (0.9%) |
| 2025 | $2.8b (-1.5%) | $306.3m (-16.9%) | $275.0m (-18.1%) | 10.9% (-15.6%) | $0.98 (-15.5%) |
| 2026 | $3.5b (24.7%) | $75.1m (-75.5%) | $148.8m (-45.9%) | 2.2% (-80.3%) | $0.19 (-80.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in AUD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.