Discounted Cash Flow
Jumia Technologies AG ADR
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 66/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 46%,
net income 32% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $108.1m | $-179.7m | $-138.4m | -166.2% | $-1.65 |
| 2018 | $149.9m (38.7%) | $-197.6m (-10.0%) | $-165.6m (-19.6%) | -131.8% (20.7%) | $-1.79 (-8.5%) |
| 2019 | $186.3m (24.3%) | $-263.3m (-33.3%) | $-218.7m (-32.1%) | -141.3% (-7.2%) | $-1.61 (10.1%) |
| 2020 | $162.2m (-13.0%) | $-186.9m (29.0%) | $-116.7m (46.6%) | -115.3% (18.4%) | $-1.14 (29.2%) |
| 2021 | $206.7m (27.4%) | $-263.5m (-41.0%) | $-207.2m (-77.5%) | -127.5% (-10.6%) | $-1.17 (-2.6%) |
| 2022 | $257.7m (24.7%) | $-276.7m (-5.0%) | $-291.9m (-40.9%) | -107.4% (15.8%) | $-1.19 (-1.7%) |
| 2023 | $216.5m (-16.0%) | $-121.0m (56.3%) | $-87.4m (70.1%) | -55.9% (48.0%) | $-0.52 (56.3%) |
| 2024 | $194.6m (-10.1%) | $-115.1m (4.9%) | $-70.7m (19.1%) | -59.2% (-5.9%) | $-0.45 (13.5%) |
| 2025 | $219.5m (12.8%) | $-71.5m (37.9%) | $-61.1m (13.6%) | -32.6% (44.9%) | $-0.25 (44.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.