Discounted Cash Flow
Jerash Holdings US Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 36/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 86%,
net income 72% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $8.8m | $1.3m | $546.5k | 15.0% | $1.07 |
| 2019 | $10.8m (22.6%) | $652.0k (-50.9%) | $1.1m (109.6%) | 6.0% (-60.0%) | $0.46 (-57.0%) |
| 2020 | $11.9m (9.5%) | $825.8k (26.7%) | $285.0k (-75.1%) | 7.0% (15.7%) | $0.57 (23.9%) |
| 2021 | $11.5m (-3.0%) | $529.1k (-35.9%) | $-304.9k (-207.0%) | 4.6% (-33.9%) | $0.20 (-64.9%) |
| 2022 | $18.3m (58.9%) | $1.0m (90.9%) | $766.2k (351.3%) | 5.5% (20.1%) | $0.67 (235.0%) |
| 2023 | $17.6m (-3.7%) | $308.6k (-69.4%) | $1.3m (67.8%) | 1.8% (-68.3%) | $0.19 (-71.6%) |
| 2024 | $14.9m (-15.1%) | $-255.8k (-182.9%) | $158.6k (-87.7%) | -1.7% (-197.7%) | $-0.16 (-184.2%) |
| 2025 | $18.6m (24.4%) | $-108.2k (57.7%) | $52.7k (-66.7%) | -0.6% (66.0%) | $-0.07 (56.2%) |
| 2026 | $21.2m (14.0%) | $451.2k (517.0%) | $-335.9k (-737.0%) | 2.1% (465.7%) | $0.28 (500.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in HKD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.